Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon

Начало: 2026-05-30 14:55 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.53%3.07справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.846%
Преимущество +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Raphael Collignon (Гости)

Прогноз 67.47%1.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.50%
Преимущество -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.46

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:49
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 14:49
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:49
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:50
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:48
DraftKings2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:50
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50