La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 32.53%3.07quota equa
EV +0.846%
Vantaggio +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Raphael Collignon (Trasferta)
Previsione 67.47%1.48quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| GTbets | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |