مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon

البداية: 2026-05-30 14:55 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.53%3.07السعر العادل
EV +0.846%
الأفضلية +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Raphael Collignon (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.47%1.48السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:49
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 14:49
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:49
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:50
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:48
DraftKings2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:50
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50