L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prévision 32.53%3.07cote équitable
EV +0.846%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Raphael Collignon (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.47%1.48cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| GTbets | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |