Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-30 14:55 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 32.53%3.07faire Quote
EV +0.846%
Vorteil +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Raphael Collignon (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.47%1.48faire Quote
EV -1.50%
Vorteil -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.46

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:49
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 14:49
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:49
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:50
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:48
DraftKings2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:50
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50