Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Matteo Arnaldi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 32.53%3.07kurs godziwy
EV +0.846%
Przewaga +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Wzrost +0.003%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Raphael Collignon (Goście)
Prognoza 67.47%1.48kurs godziwy
EV -1.50%
Przewaga -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.46
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:48 |
| DraftKings | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| GTbets | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Caesars | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Novig | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 2.7% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |