The School of Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Raphael Collignon

Matchstart: 2026-05-30 14:55 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Hemma)

Prognos 32.53%3.07rättvist odds
EV +0.846%
Fördel +0.273%
Kelly +0.403%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.86%32.62%32.53%35.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.652.872.873.1037.74%34.85%34.90%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Raphael Collignon (Borta)

Prognos 67.47%1.48rättvist odds
EV -1.50%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -3.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.63%67.38%67.47%70.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.321.421.421.4675.76%70.45%70.42%68.49%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV +0.846%E +0.273%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.94%E -8.29%K -34.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 14:50
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -0.130%E -0.042%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:49
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 14:49
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.781%E -0.256%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.57%E -5.52%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.41%E -0.802%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:40
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.03%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 14:49
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.36%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:50
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -5.01%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.87%E -3.45%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.66%E -1.95%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.31%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.64%E -2.31%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 14:50
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.96%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.29%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.22%E -4.47%K -15.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:50
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:48
DraftKings2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -8.26%E -2.93%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:50
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.91%E -3.18%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:50
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.89%E -3.57%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -1.50%E -1.02%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.54%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 14:50
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -13.79%E -5.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 14:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%1.5%2026-05-30 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-05-30 14:50