Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 72.84%1.37fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rafael Jodar (Local): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 27.16%. For Flavio Cobolli (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 12:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |