Lingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 72.84%1.37quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.16%3.68quota equa
EV +1.87%
Vantaggio +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Crescita +0.013%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta): 27.16%. Per Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.68. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.87%.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 12:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |