Язык:Русский
Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Rafael Jodar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 72.84%1.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.40%
Преимущество -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.34
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Flavio Cobolli (Гости)
Прогноз 27.16%3.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.87%
Преимущество +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Rafael Jodar (Хозяева): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Гости): 27.16%. Для исхода «Flavio Cobolli (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.68. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.87%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 12:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |