Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-08-19 15:11 UTC

Final: Rafael Jodar 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 72.84%1.37odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 27.16%3.68odd justa
EV +1.87%
Vantagem +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 27.16%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013%4.2%2026-08-19 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-19 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 14:55
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 03:39
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 02:34
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 20:00
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 07:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 08:03
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 09:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 14:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 19:40
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 14:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:09
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 14:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-19 14:55
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-19 14:40
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-08-19 14:55