默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli

开赛时间: 2026-08-19 15:11 UTC

最终结果: Rafael Jodar 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rafael Jodar (主队)

预测 72.84%1.37公平赔率
EV -2.40%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.34

博彩公司预测分布
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flavio Cobolli (客队)

预测 27.16%3.68公平赔率
EV +1.87%
优势 +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Rafael Jodar (主队):72.84%;Flavio Cobolli (客队):27.16%。 对于“Flavio Cobolli (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.68。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+1.87%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013%4.2%2026-08-19 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-19 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 14:55
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 03:39
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 02:34
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 20:00
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 07:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 08:03
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 09:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 14:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 19:40
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 14:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:09
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 14:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 12:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-19 14:55
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-19 14:40
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-08-19 14:55