StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-19 15:11 UTC

Endstand: Rafael Jodar 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 72.84%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.40%
Vorteil -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.16%3.68faire Quote
EV +1.87%
Vorteil +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts): 27.16%. Für Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.68. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.87%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013%4.2%2026-08-19 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-19 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 14:55
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-19 14:15
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 03:39
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 02:34
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 14:49
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-18 20:00
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 02:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 07:45
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 08:03
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 07:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 06:59
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 09:34
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 14:34
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-18 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 14:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 19:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 19:40
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 14:35
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 04:09
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 19:45
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 14:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 12:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-08-19 14:55
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-19 14:55
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-19 14:40
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-08-19 14:55