Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 72.84%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.16%3.68cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 72.84% ; Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur) : 27.16%. Pour Flavio Cobolli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.87%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 12:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |