Język:Polski
Rafael Jodar v Flavio Cobolli
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 72.84%1.37kurs godziwy
EV -2.40%
Przewaga -1.79%
Kelly -7.06%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.34
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.98%72.65%72.92%74.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.251.301.301.3480.00%76.70%76.92%74.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Flavio Cobolli (Goście)
Prognoza 27.16%3.68kurs godziwy
EV +1.87%
Przewaga +0.497%
Kelly +0.678%
Wzrost +0.013%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.25%27.35%27.08%30.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.463.503.7532.26%28.92%28.57%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 72.84%; Flavio Cobolli (Goście): 27.16%. Dla wyniku Flavio Cobolli (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.68. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.87%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.87%E +0.497%K +0.678%G +0.013% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +0.507%E +0.137%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -0.308%E -0.084%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -0.851%E -0.233%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV -1.12%E -0.308%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -1.39%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 02:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.21%E -0.614%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 02:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.75%E -0.769%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.57%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.11%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.38%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 19:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.40%E -1.79%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 02:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 07:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 07:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.96%E -7.16%K -35.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.31%E -4.09%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.77%E -5.29%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 06:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.50%E -5.90%K -27.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.58%E -3.50%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 04:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.86%E -2.92%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.07%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.13%E -2.35%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.79%E -5.09%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 12:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 14:55 |