預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov

開賽時間: 2026-08-15 23:03 UTC

最終賽果: Rafael Jodar 2–1 Denis Shapovalov

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Rafael Jodar (主隊)

預測 68.69%1.46公平賠率
EV -3.15%
優勢 -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.41

博彩公司預測分布
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Denis Shapovalov (客隊)

預測 31.31%3.19公平賠率
EV -1.37%
優勢 -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.15

博彩公司預測分布
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Rafael Jodar (主隊):68.69%;Denis Shapovalov (客隊):31.31%。 對於「Denis Shapovalov (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.19的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.15,期望值為-1.37%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 07:08
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 06:45
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:14
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:03
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:50
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 22:29
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:24
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 22:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:09
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-15 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-08-15 22:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-15 22:50
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-15 22:55