StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 67.95%1.47rättvist odds
EV -2.83%
Fördel -1.98%
Kelly -6.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.27%67.92%68.03%68.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.90%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Borta)

Prognos 32.05%3.12rättvist odds
EV -0.656%
Fördel -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.11%32.08%31.97%33.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.952.993.1036.36%33.85%33.44%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 67.95%; Denis Shapovalov (Borta): 32.05%. För Denis Shapovalov (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.12. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.10, med väntevärdet -0.656%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -1.94%E -0.633%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 14:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 09:20
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.656%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 12:19
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:28
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:39
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:34
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 13:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:10
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 08:56
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 09:19
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.50%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 09:25
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 08:56
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:10
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 10:14
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:33
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 12:20
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:15
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:20
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-08-14 14:25

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