StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 23:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Rafael Jodar 2–1 Denis Shapovalov

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 68.69%1.46rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Borta)

Prognos 31.31%3.19rättvist odds
EV -1.37%
Fördel -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 68.69%; Denis Shapovalov (Borta): 31.31%. För Denis Shapovalov (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.19. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.15, med väntevärdet -1.37%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 07:08
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 06:45
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:14
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:03
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:50
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 22:29
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:24
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 22:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-15 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-08-15 22:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-15 22:50
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-15 22:55