Język:Polski
Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 68.69%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -3.15%
Przewaga -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.41
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Denis Shapovalov (Goście)
Prognoza 31.31%3.19kurs godziwy
EV -1.37%
Przewaga -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 68.69%; Denis Shapovalov (Goście): 31.31%. Dla wyniku Denis Shapovalov (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.19. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.15, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.37%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 07:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |