Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 67.95%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -6.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%67.92%68.03%68.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.90%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 32.05%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.656%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%32.08%31.97%33.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.993.1036.36%33.85%33.44%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 67.95%; Denis Shapovalov (Visitante): 32.05%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.12. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.10, con un valor esperado de -0.656%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.15%EV -2.83%E -1.98%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.85%EV -1.94%E -0.633%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 09:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 08:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.656%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.50%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 08:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 10:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 14:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 12:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 12:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
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