StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 23:03 UTC

Endstand: Rafael Jodar 2–1 Denis Shapovalov

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 68.69%1.46faire Quote
EV -3.15%
Vorteil -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.31%3.19faire Quote
EV -1.37%
Vorteil -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 68.69%; Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts): 31.31%. Für Denis Shapovalov (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.19. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.15, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.37%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 07:08
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 06:45
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 10:14
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:03
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 22:50
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 22:29
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:24
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:03
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 22:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 09:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:09
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 01:03
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 09:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-08-15 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-08-15 22:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-08-15 22:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-15 22:50
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-08-15 22:55