Lingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 68.69%1.46quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.31%3.19quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 68.69%; Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta): 31.31%. Per Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.15, con un valore atteso del -1.37%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 07:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |