Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 68.69%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -7.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%68.63%68.69%70.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.78%72.73%70.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.31%3.19cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.435%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%31.37%31.31%33.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.1536.36%33.15%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 68.69% ; Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur) : 31.31%. Pour Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.19. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.15, pour une espérance de -1.37% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 07:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.89%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 10:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.50%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.31%E -0.740%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.81%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 22:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.78%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -7.01%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 01:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.39%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -7.96%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -4.19%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.93%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 22:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 22:55 |