Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Denis Shapovalov

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 67.95%1.47odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -6.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%67.92%68.03%68.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.90%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)

Previsão 32.05%3.12odd justa
EV -0.656%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.313%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.11%32.08%31.97%33.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.952.993.1036.36%33.85%33.44%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 67.95%; Denis Shapovalov (Visitante): 32.05%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.10, com valor esperado de -0.656%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.15%E -1.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.22%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 09:25
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 11:10
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.51%E -2.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 09:20
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.19%E -2.97%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 08:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.656%E -0.212%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -2.90%E -0.957%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 12:19
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:28
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 12:39
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 12:34
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 13:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:10
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 08:56
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 09:19
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.03%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.86%E -3.47%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.26%E -0.741%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.50%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.54%E -3.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 09:25
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 08:56
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:10
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 10:14
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.22%E -4.51%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.43%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.57%EV -4.82%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.90%E -5.04%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.07%E -2.44%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:34
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.71%E -2.68%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 14:33
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.67%E -3.04%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 12:20
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.58%E -5.58%K -21.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.26%E -6.12%K -23.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:15
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-14 14:20
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-08-14 14:25

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