Language:English
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca
Head to Head
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.39%44.39%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.1850.00%47.41%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Visit)
Prediction 55.59%1.80fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.61%55.61%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.711.7661.73%58.72%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 44.41%; Joao Fonseca (Visit): 55.59%. For Joao Fonseca (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.76, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.18%E -1.46%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.62%E -1.67%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.07%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.51%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.95%E -6.14%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.96%E -2.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.39%E -2.55%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.96%E -2.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.95%E -2.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.40%E -2.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:13 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.83%E -2.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.50%E -3.24%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.06%E -3.58%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 01:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.73%E -3.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| GTbets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.17%E -1.23%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| ReBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.62%E -3.66%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.17%E -4.29%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.95%E -4.37%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.40%E -4.61%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.84%E -5.39%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 01:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.17%E -5.59%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.84%E -5.39%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 39.23% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 60.77% | 23.7% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |