Język:Polski
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 41.90%2.39kurs godziwy
EV -0.272%
Przewaga -0.114%
Kelly -0.197%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.75%41.88%41.89%44.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.39%44.44%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Joao Fonseca (Goście)
Prognoza 58.10%1.72kurs godziwy
EV -1.23%
Przewaga -0.726%
Kelly -1.76%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.26%58.12%58.11%60.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.07%60.61%58.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze): 41.90%; Joao Fonseca (Goście): 58.10%. Dla wyniku Stefanos Tsitsipas (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.39. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.38, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.272%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.80%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 05:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.23%E -0.726%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |