语言:简体中文
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)
预测 41.90%2.39公平赔率
EV -0.272%
优势 -0.114%
Kelly -0.197%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.38
博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.88%41.89%44.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.39%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Joao Fonseca (客队)
预测 58.10%1.72公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.726%
Kelly -1.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.70
博彩公司预测分布
55.26%58.12%58.11%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.07%60.61%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)：41.90%；Joao Fonseca (客队)：58.10%。 对于“Stefanos Tsitsipas (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.39。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.38，期望值为-0.272%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.80%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 05:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.23%E -0.726%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |