StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Hemma)

Prognos 44.40%2.25rättvist odds
EV -2.33%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -1.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.97%44.33%44.39%46.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Borta)

Prognos 55.60%1.80rättvist odds
EV -2.14%
Fördel -1.21%
Kelly -2.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.76

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.95%55.67%55.61%57.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.701.711.7661.73%58.74%58.65%56.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Hemma): 44.40%; Joao Fonseca (Borta): 55.60%. För Joao Fonseca (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.80. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.76, med väntevärdet -2.14%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:40
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 01:04
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:15
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:10
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:43
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:09
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:04
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.92%E -6.13%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:05
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:49
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.43%E -2.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:15
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:13
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:05
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:03
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:15
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:10
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 01:05
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 01:10
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.43%E -4.62%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.81%E -5.37%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 01:08
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.21%E -5.60%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.81%E -5.37%K -13.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-05 01:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-08-05 02:40
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-05 02:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%4.5%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%8.7%2026-08-05 02:30