Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca

Início: 2026-08-05 15:12 UTC

Final: Stefanos Tsitsipas 0–2 Joao Fonseca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)

Previsão 41.90%2.39odd justa
EV -0.272%
Vantagem -0.114%
Kelly -0.197%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.88%41.89%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.39%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Joao Fonseca (Visitante)

Previsão 58.10%1.72odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%58.12%58.11%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.07%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 41.90%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 58.10%. Para Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.39. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.38, com valor esperado de -0.272%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.80%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:52
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 14:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 05:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:49
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:55
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 10:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 10:30
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 13:15
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:34
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 14:55
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 07:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 11:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 11:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 11:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 12:10
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:54
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 14:55
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 10:30
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 10:59
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.23%E -0.726%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-08-05 14:55
ProphetX◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-08-05 14:55
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%1.4%2026-08-05 14:50
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-08-05 14:55