Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa)

Previsione 44.40%2.25quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.97%44.33%44.39%46.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Joao Fonseca (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.60%1.80quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.67%55.61%57.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.711.7661.73%58.74%58.65%56.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Casa): 44.40%; Joao Fonseca (Trasferta): 55.60%. Per Joao Fonseca (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.80. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.76, con un valore atteso del -2.14%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 02:40
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 01:04
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:15
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:10
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:43
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:09
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 01:04
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.92%E -6.13%K -16.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:05
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:49
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.43%E -2.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:04
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:15
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:13
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:05
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 01:05
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:03
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:04
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 01:05
GTbets2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:15
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:10
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 01:05
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.65%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 01:10
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:10
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.43%E -4.62%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.81%E -5.37%K -13.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 01:08
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.21%E -5.60%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.81%E -5.37%K -13.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-05 01:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-08-05 02:40
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-05 02:35
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%4.5%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%4.9%2026-08-05 02:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%8.7%2026-08-05 02:30