Langue:Français
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Prévision 41.90%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.272%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.88%41.89%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.39%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Joao Fonseca (Visiteur)
Prévision 58.10%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%58.12%58.11%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.07%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local) : 41.90% ; Joao Fonseca (Visiteur) : 58.10%. Pour Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.38, pour une espérance de -0.272% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.80%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 05:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.23%E -0.726%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |