Idioma:Español
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Joao Fonseca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local)
Predicción 41.90%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.272%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.197%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.88%41.89%44.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.39%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Joao Fonseca (Visitante)
Predicción 58.10%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%58.12%58.11%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7064.52%61.07%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local): 41.90%; Joao Fonseca (Visitante): 58.10%. Para Stefanos Tsitsipas (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.39. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.38, con un valor esperado de -0.272%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -7.62%E -4.80%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:52 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.272%E -0.114%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.53%E -0.651%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 05:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.95%E -6.42%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.56%E -2.94%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.98%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.46%E -4.01%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -7.40%E -3.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 12:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.81%E -3.55%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.04%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -8.23%E -3.76%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -8.65%E -3.97%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.91%E -4.61%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.00%E -5.72%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.23%E -0.726%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |