Language:English
Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
Head to Head
Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)
Prediction 36.87%2.71fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.90%36.82%38.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.94%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fabian Marozsan (Visit)
Prediction 63.13%1.58fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Shintaro Mochizuki (Local): 36.87%; Fabian Marozsan (Visit): 63.13%. For Shintaro Mochizuki (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.68, with an expected value of -1.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| GTbets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 14:28 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| ReBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.28%EV -10.04%E -4.12%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |