语言:简体中文
Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Shintaro Mochizuki (主队)
预测 37.78%2.65公平赔率
EV -1.01%
优势 -0.384%
Kelly -0.621%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.62
博彩公司预测分布
36.41%37.74%37.93%39.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.512.502.6242.55%39.80%40.00%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fabian Marozsan (客队)
预测 62.22%1.61公平赔率
EV -2.94%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -5.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.56
博彩公司预测分布
60.26%62.26%62.07%63.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.521.531.5668.03%65.73%65.36%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Shintaro Mochizuki (主队)：37.78%；Fabian Marozsan (客队)：62.22%。 对于“Shintaro Mochizuki (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.65。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.62，期望值为-1.01%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.01%E -0.384%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.52%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 09:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |