預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

開賽時間: 2026-08-04 20:35 UTC

最終賽果: Shintaro Mochizuki 0–2 Fabian Marozsan

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Shintaro Mochizuki (主隊)

預測 37.78%2.65公平賠率
EV -1.01%
優勢 -0.384%
Kelly -0.621%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.62

博彩公司預測分布
36.41%37.74%37.93%39.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.352.512.502.6242.55%39.80%40.00%38.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Fabian Marozsan (客隊)

預測 62.22%1.61公平賠率
EV -2.94%
優勢 -1.89%
Kelly -5.26%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.56

博彩公司預測分布
60.26%62.26%62.07%63.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.471.521.531.5668.03%65.73%65.36%64.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Shintaro Mochizuki (主隊):37.78%;Fabian Marozsan (客隊):62.22%。 對於「Shintaro Mochizuki (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.65的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.62,期望值為-1.01%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.01%E -0.384%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 20:29
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.52%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:30
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:09
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:08
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 03:24
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 20:30
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:30
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:30
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 09:15
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:04
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:15
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:30
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:13
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:44
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 20:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 01:24
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 18:35
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 20:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 20:30
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 20:29
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-04 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-04 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-04 20:30
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-08-04 20:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.2%2026-08-04 20:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.3%2026-08-04 20:30
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%3.2%2026-08-04 20:30