Idioma:Español
Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
Resultado del partido
Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)
Predicción 36.87%2.71momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%36.90%36.82%38.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.88%38.46%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fabian Marozsan (Visitante)
Predicción 63.13%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Shintaro Mochizuki (Local): 36.87%; Fabian Marozsan (Visitante): 63.13%. Para Shintaro Mochizuki (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.68, con un valor esperado de -1.20%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| GTbets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 14:28 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |