StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shintaro Mochizuki (Heim)

Prognose 36.87%2.71faire Quote
EV -1.20%
Vorteil -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.38%36.90%36.82%38.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.88%38.46%37.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts)

Prognose 63.13%1.58faire Quote
EV -2.14%
Vorteil -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Shintaro Mochizuki (Heim): 36.87%; Fabian Marozsan (Auswärts): 63.13%. Für Shintaro Mochizuki (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.71. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.68, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.20%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
SportsBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:00
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:19
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:53
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:30
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 12:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:15
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:13
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:14
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%4.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%8.2%2026-08-02 15:25