Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)

Prévision 36.87%2.71cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.38%36.90%36.82%38.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.88%38.46%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.13%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Shintaro Mochizuki (Local) : 36.87% ; Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur) : 63.13%. Pour Shintaro Mochizuki (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.68, pour une espérance de -1.20% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
SportsBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:00
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:19
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:53
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:30
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 12:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:15
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:13
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:14
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%4.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%8.2%2026-08-02 15:25