Langue:Français
Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)
Prévision 37.78%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.384%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.41%37.74%37.93%39.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.512.502.6242.55%39.80%40.00%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.22%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -5.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%62.26%62.07%63.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.521.531.5668.03%65.73%65.36%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shintaro Mochizuki (Local) : 37.78% ; Fabian Marozsan (Visiteur) : 62.22%. Pour Shintaro Mochizuki (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.65. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.62, pour une espérance de -1.01% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.01%E -0.384%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.38%E -0.530%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.52%E -0.976%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.78%E -1.90%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.16%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 09:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 01:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.68%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.81%E -3.14%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.57%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 20:30 |