Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Shintaro Mochizuki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.87%2.71kurs godziwy
EV -1.20%
Przewaga -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.38%36.90%36.82%38.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.88%38.46%37.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fabian Marozsan (Goście)

Prognoza 63.13%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -2.14%
Przewaga -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Shintaro Mochizuki (Gospodarze): 36.87%; Fabian Marozsan (Goście): 63.13%. Dla wyniku Shintaro Mochizuki (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.71. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.68, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.20%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-02 13:05
SportsBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:00
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 15:29
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:54
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:29
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:10
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:45
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 13:19
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:14
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:35
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:53
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 15:30
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 12:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 08:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 12:05
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:15
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:13
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:10
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:28
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
ReBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:04
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:03
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:14
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%1.7%2026-08-02 13:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%4.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%8.2%2026-08-02 15:25