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Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan
Победитель встречи
Shintaro Mochizuki (Хозяева)
Прогноз 36.87%2.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.20%
Преимущество -0.447%
Kelly -0.712%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.68
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.38%36.90%36.82%38.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.572.602.6841.67%38.88%38.46%37.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fabian Marozsan (Гости)
Прогноз 63.13%1.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.14%
Преимущество -1.38%
Kelly -3.90%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.63%63.10%63.18%64.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.431.491.501.5569.93%67.00%66.67%64.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Shintaro Mochizuki (Хозяева): 36.87%; Fabian Marozsan (Гости): 63.13%. Для исхода «Shintaro Mochizuki (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.71. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший доступный коэффициент — 2.68, математическое ожидание — -1.20%; положительного ожидания нет.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.20%E -0.447%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.04%E -2.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.30%E -0.869%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -2.67%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.93%E -3.98%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.41%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.09%E -6.31%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| GTbets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -3.78%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 11:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:30 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.99%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -6.73%E -2.66%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.41%E -2.23%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 08:44 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 12:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.30%E -3.53%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:13 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.56%E -4.43%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 14:28 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| ReBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.19%E -4.89%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.83%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.46%E -5.83%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -8.20%E -3.29%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -2.14%E -1.38%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -11.52%E -4.80%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -9.72%E -6.80%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Novig | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |