Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Prediction 60.79%1.64fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%60.83%60.81%62.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.66%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visit)

Prediction 39.21%2.55fair odd
EV -0.408%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.265%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.59%39.17%39.19%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.412.5444.44%41.28%41.49%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 60.79%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 39.21%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.54, with an expected value of -0.408%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.98%E -0.791%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 12:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.82%E -4.27%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.95%E -2.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.95%E -2.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.801%E -0.316%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:55
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.801%E -0.316%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.801%E -0.316%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 13:40
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.51%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:54
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.55%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:05
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:05
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:10
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.77%E -3.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.33%E -1.77%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:44
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.98%E -0.791%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -0.408%E -0.161%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.98%E -0.791%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.68%E -2.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:03
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.25%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.82%E -4.27%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.21%E -5.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.86%E -3.34%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:14
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -8.21%E -5.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -10.60%E -4.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.42%E -6.32%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.78%E -5.24%K -9.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.9%2026-08-02 14:35
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%8.8%2026-08-02 14:35