Language:English
Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prediction 61.64%1.62fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 61.64%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 38.36%. For Jacob Fearnley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
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