النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

البداية: 2026-08-04 16:48 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Jacob Fearnley 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.64%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.36%2.61السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)⁩: ⁨61.64%⁩؛ ⁨Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)⁩: ⁨38.36%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨1.62⁩. لم تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى: كان أفضل سعر ⁨1.60⁩، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها ⁨-1.37%⁩؛ ولم ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 20:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:24
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 03:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-04 16:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-04 14:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-04 14:40