النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.79%1.64السعر العادل
EV -3.34%
الأفضلية -2.10%
Kelly -5.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.13%60.88%60.81%62.41%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.63%64.94%62.89%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.21%2.55السعر العادل
EV +0.757%
الأفضلية +0.295%
Kelly +0.482%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.59%39.12%39.19%40.87%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.432.442.5744.44%41.22%40.98%38.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.79%⁩؛ ⁨Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.21%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.55⁩. تعرض شركتا مراهنات (2) سعرين أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨2.57⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.757%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-02 15:24
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-02 15:25
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -0.419%E -0.165%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.811%E -0.321%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 12:45
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:04
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.34%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:05
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 09:04
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:03
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:45
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:14
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:50
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:04
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 09:55
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.42%E -6.32%K -19.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-08-02 15:15