Idioma:Español
Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
Resultado del partido
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Predicción 60.79%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -5.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%60.88%60.81%62.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.63%64.94%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 39.21%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.757%
Ventaja +0.295%
Kelly +0.482%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.59%39.12%39.19%40.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.432.442.5744.44%41.22%40.98%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 60.79%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 39.21%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.57, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.757%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -0.419%E -0.165%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.811%E -0.321%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 15:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.34%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 10:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:03 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.42%E -6.32%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 15:10 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 15:15 |