Idioma:Español
Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Predicción 61.64%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 38.36%2.61momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 61.64%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 38.36%. Para Jacob Fearnley (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.62. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.60, con un valor esperado de -1.37%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |