StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 16:48 UTC

Slutresultat: Jacob Fearnley 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley (Hemma)

Prognos 61.64%1.62rättvist odds
EV -1.37%
Fördel -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Borta)

Prognos 38.36%2.61rättvist odds
EV -1.42%
Fördel -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jacob Fearnley (Hemma): 61.64%; Adrian Mannarino (Borta): 38.36%. För Jacob Fearnley (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.60, med väntevärdet -1.37%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 20:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:24
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 03:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-04 16:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-04 14:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-04 14:40