預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

開賽時間: 2026-08-04 16:48 UTC

最終賽果: Jacob Fearnley 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

66 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Jacob Fearnley (主隊)

預測 61.64%1.62公平賠率
EV -1.37%
優勢 -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.60

博彩公司預測分布
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Adrian Mannarino (客隊)

預測 38.36%2.61公平賠率
EV -1.42%
優勢 -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.57

博彩公司預測分布
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Jacob Fearnley (主隊):61.64%;Adrian Mannarino (客隊):38.36%。 對於「Jacob Fearnley (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.62的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.60,期望值為-1.37%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (66 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 20:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:24
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 03:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-04 16:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-04 14:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-04 14:40