Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

Inizio: 2026-08-04 16:48 UTC

Finale: Jacob Fearnley 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacob Fearnley (Casa)

Previsione 61.64%1.62quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.36%2.61quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jacob Fearnley (Casa): 61.64%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 38.36%. Per Jacob Fearnley (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.62. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.60, con un valore atteso del -1.37%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:25
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 16:25
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 08:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 20:35
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:24
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 07:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 03:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-04 15:50
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-04 16:20
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-04 14:20
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-04 14:40