Język:Polski
Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 61.64%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -1.37%
Przewaga -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Adrian Mannarino (Goście)
Prognoza 38.36%2.61kurs godziwy
EV -1.42%
Przewaga -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze): 61.64%; Adrian Mannarino (Goście): 38.36%. Dla wyniku Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.62. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.60, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.37%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |