Langue:Français
Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prévision 61.64%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%61.50%61.57%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.71%64.94%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.36%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.907%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.50%38.43%41.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.462.482.5743.48%40.65%40.32%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jacob Fearnley (Local) : 61.64% ; Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur) : 38.36%. Pour Jacob Fearnley (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.60, pour une espérance de -1.37% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -5.26%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.37%E -0.856%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -2.60%E -1.65%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -11.78%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.71%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.22%E -2.05%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.86%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.42%E -0.554%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 08:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.41%E -2.63%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.19%E -0.860%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.88%E -1.97%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.07%E -3.29%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.58%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -4.49%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.68%E -3.72%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.92%E -4.58%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.79%E -2.80%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 03:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.11%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13% | 1.4% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |