Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacob Fearnley v Adrian Mannarino

2026-08-03 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Prévision 60.79%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -5.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%60.88%60.81%62.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.541.5967.11%64.63%64.94%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.21%2.55cote équitable
EV +0.757%
Avantage +0.295%
Kelly +0.482%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.59%39.12%39.19%40.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.442.5744.44%41.22%40.98%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jacob Fearnley (Local) : 60.79% ; Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur) : 39.21%. Pour Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.55. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.57, pour une espérance positive de +0.757%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-02 15:24
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.757%E +0.295%K +0.482%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-02 15:25
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -0.419%E -0.165%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.811%E -0.321%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 12:45
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:24
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.99%E -0.795%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:15
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 15:05
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 15:04
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.34%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:05
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 09:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.77%E -3.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 09:04
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:53
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 10:24
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 13:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:03
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.94%E -2.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.16%E -3.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.38%E -4.14%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:45
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.20%E -5.43%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:14
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:50
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:04
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.34%E -2.10%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:17
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 09:55
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -9.42%E -6.32%K -19.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-08-02 15:05
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-08-02 15:10
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%3.7%2026-08-02 15:15