Language:English
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Head to Head
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prediction 23.47%4.26fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.339%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.57%23.44%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.2026.67%24.89%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visit)
Prediction 76.53%1.31fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -13.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%76.43%76.56%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.241.2681.97%80.47%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local): 23.47%; Cameron Norrie (Visit): 76.53%. For Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -1.42%E -0.339%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -2.13%E -0.510%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.57%E -2.84%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-01 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -3.07%E -0.743%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%EV -3.07%E -0.743%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.94%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.34%E -3.47%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 14:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:20 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:24 |
| TABtouch | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Bally Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.12%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.29%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.10%E -4.12%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-01 21:09 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.99%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.63%E -5.44%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 0.9% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |