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Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)
Прогноз 21.07%4.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.17%
Преимущество +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Рост +0.012%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cameron Norrie (Гости)
Прогноз 78.93%1.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.12%
Преимущество -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.24
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева): 21.07%; Cameron Norrie (Гости): 78.93%. Для исхода «Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.75. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.85, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.17%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |