Język:Polski
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 21.07%4.75kurs godziwy
EV +2.17%
Przewaga +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Wzrost +0.012%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.85
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Cameron Norrie (Goście)
Prognoza 78.93%1.27kurs godziwy
EV -2.12%
Przewaga -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.24
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze): 21.07%; Cameron Norrie (Goście): 78.93%. Dla wyniku Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.75. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.85, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.17%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |